In the third episode of this series, Doug Casey, Michael Yon, and Matt Smith explore current events and global dynamics with "3 observations and 1 prediction" from the past week. This session offers Doug's reflections from Buenos Aires, Michael's international insights, and discussions on critical topics like the U.S. election, media manipulation, and political influence.
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Time stamps:
[00:01:00] Doug's Thoughts on Elon Musk's Election Influence
Doug discusses Elon Muskβs offer of monetary incentives tied to voting intentions, hinting at potential legal issues and raising questions about the importance of elections in a coercive system. Doug argues that the governmentβs reach should be limited.
[00:04:00] Michaelβs Personal Anecdotes on Election Bribery
Michael recalls personal memories involving bribery in voting, comparing it to similar tactics in Thailand, where candidates offer incentives like whiskey and shoes to voters. He also speculates on Elon Muskβs potential political aspirations.
[00:07:00] Doug on a Constitutional Convention Possibility
The discussion shifts to the idea of rewriting the U.S. Constitution. Doug reflects on potential public support for a leader with a military background, given the volatile times ahead.
[00:11:00] Michaelβs Barber Encounter in Okinawa
Michael shares a unique story about a barber in Okinawa who is preparing for a food shortage. This reveals a cultural inclination towards preparedness and tracking global issues.
[00:17:00] Dougβs Observation on Media Bias and Subscriptions
Doug shares his analysis of media bias at The Washington Post and its impact on subscription numbers. He discusses Bezosβs political silence, hinting that media influences elections more than endorsement choices.
[00:21:00] Discussion on U.S. Presidential Candidates
Michael and Doug discuss the Democratic candidate Kamala Harris, expressing skepticism about her qualifications. They analyze the mediaβs role in shaping public perception.
[00:25:00] Michael's Skepticism of Media Manipulation in Combat Photography
Michael, with extensive experience in combat zones, discusses inconsistencies in a recent photograph of Trump, revealing insight into potential manipulation in media.
[00:34:00] Michaelβs Analysis on a North Korean Defectorβs Fraudulence
Michael recalls a 60 Minutes interview with a North Korean defector, which he quickly deemed fraudulent. His expertise in identifying inconsistencies led to public validation of his suspicions years later.
[00:37:00] Doug on Election Polls and the "Installation" of Candidates
Doug critiques election polls, suggesting they are unreliable and politically motivated. He predicts Kamala Harris could be βinstalledβ due to media manipulation, despite Trump's popularity in certain regions.
[00:42:00] Puerto Rico's Statehood Movement
Doug discusses the Democrats' strategic interest in making Puerto Rico a state, which would shift political representation in favor of the Democrats.
[00:46:00] Michael on Philippines Statehood Aspirations
Michael shares insights into the Philippines' history and the notion of becoming a U.S. state. He compares the unique culture and perspectives found there with the ongoing challenges in regions like Mindanao.
[00:52:00] Closing Thoughts on Election and Predictions
As the episode winds down, the team reflects on the uncertain future of the U.S. elections. They share varied perspectives on how quickly (or slowly) the election results may be resolved, ending with Michaelβs perspective on immigration at the U.S. border and closing remarks from Doug on his rapport with Michael and Matt.






