Doug Casey's Crisis Investing

Doug Casey's Crisis Investing

Share this post

Doug Casey's Crisis Investing
Doug Casey's Crisis Investing
Long Live Freedom, Damn It!
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More
User's avatar
Discover more from Doug Casey's Crisis Investing
The wisdom of Doug Casey meets today's chaos and uncertainty. Join for investment ideas and much more.
Over 18,000 subscribers
Already have an account? Sign in

Long Live Freedom, Damn It!

Reflections on Argentina's Past and Present from the Caves of Buenos Aires (Part 2)

Lau Vegys's avatar
Lau Vegys
Aug 13, 2024
54

Share this post

Doug Casey's Crisis Investing
Doug Casey's Crisis Investing
Long Live Freedom, Damn It!
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More
36
4
Share

As I wrapped up my Friday essay about Argentina's story from riches to rags, I mentioned that something major happened here in November 2023. On the 19th of that month, economist and self-described “philosophical anarchist” (but pragmatic libertarian) Javier Milei won the presidency of Argentina.

His promise? To put a chainsaw to Argentina's bureaucracy and government waste.

Shockingly, it was Argentina’s young people who helped turn his presidential bid into a reality.

As many as 70% of voters under 29 backed Milei. This is a striking contrast to young Americans, who mostly lean socialist and vote Democrat.

It didn’t help that Taylor Swift fans, whose tour landed in Buenos Aires the week before the election, printed and plastered thousands of pink posters saying “Swifties Don’t Vote for Milei” all over bus stops and construction sites. To drive the point home, the bottom of the posters even had the hashtag “#MileiEsTrump” (Milei Is Trump).

But the Milei effect didn’t stop with just the younger generation.

Even older people who consider themselves left-leaning also voted for Milei. My Uber driver Pablo, who I met yesterday, is one of them. We had a great chat on our way to Casa Rosada, the Presidential house where Milei now works. Here’s a photo of us below that my wife snapped.

According to Pablo, no one in his family or close circle of friends is right-wing (which is how the media portrayed Milei), but they all voted for him. The only people he knew of who didn’t were either “sindicalistas” (union members), “subsidiados” (welfare recipients), or people working for the government. Basically, those without a job in the real economy.

The point I’m making is that the people of Argentina wanted change like a parched man wants water. And guess what, they got it.

Blood, Toil, Tears and Sweat

On December 10, inauguration day, Milei chose to deliver his inaugural speech on the steps of Congress in front of his supporters, rather than inside before its members. He said:

We have no alternatives and no time. We have no room for sterile discussions. Our country demands action and immediate action. The political class is leaving a country on the brink of the deepest crisis in its history. Each of them will have to take their responsibility.

However, our commitment to the Argentine people is unwavering. We will make all the necessary decisions to solve the problem caused by 100 years of profligacy of the political class. Even if it is difficult at first. We know that the situation will get worse in the short term.

[Skipping a few paragraphs]

So God bless the Argentines and may the powers of heaven be with us in this challenge. Thank you very much. It will be difficult, but we will do it.

This kind of un-politician-like honesty was what Milei built his campaign on, and it resonated deeply with the people of Argentina, who were fed up with empty political promises as they watched their country crumble. It was a breath of fresh air, which is why people like Pablo, who are neither young nor right-wing, voted for him.

Watching Milei deliver his speech, I couldn’t help but think this might be the first time in modern times we’ve seen “the people” choose to cut through the overgrowth of their government—and to hire a man with a chainsaw to get the job done, no less.

Javier Milei brandishing a chainsaw at a campaign event. He used it to symbolize his promise to cut government spending and waste.

And it didn’t take long for the public to realize that this guy didn’t just talk the talk but also walked the walk.

On his first day in office, he abolished or merged half the federal ministries, laid off at least 50,000 state workers, devalued the currency by 50%, halted all public works, and slashed subsidies on fuel and electricity.

And just last June, Milei scored a huge legislative win in his quest to deregulate the economy when the Argentine Congress finally passed his “Ley de Bases” reform package, clearing the way for privatizing key state firms and easing labor laws.

"Experiment" That Won’t Fail

Javier Milei is no Trump, but he’s definitely the face of anti-establishment rebellion. So, they hate him with the same intensity.

From the moment Milei took office, establishment shills and mainstream media the world over jumped in with doomsday scenarios, predicting a catastrophic disaster for Argentina. They’ve been scoffing at what Milei is doing as an “experiment.” And they’ve been desperate to see it fail.

So has Milei failed?

Not even close.

Despite having a major currency crisis on his hands, with the peso inflating faster than any other currency in the world, Milei has managed to avert disaster. Since his election, inflation (on a month-over-month basis) has dropped to 4.3% in May, the lowest in two years. That’s down from nearly 26% in December, the month Milei was sworn in.

Real wages, after adjusting for inflation, have been rising across the economy as well.

Speaking of the economy, it grew by 1.3% in July. That’s well above the 0.1% median growth estimate from Bloomberg analysts. Year-over-year, it also beat expectations, rising 2.3% compared to their –2.5% forecast.

Now, you’re unlikely to hear about any of this in mainstream news, but then again, that’s not surprising.

What’s happening in Argentina is an unprecedented endeavor in free markets. If it succeeds, it could cast doubt on how things are run here in America and around the world. Proponents of big government, unlimited spending, and ballooning debt can’t have this, so they want it to fail.

We should all pray it doesn’t, for our own sake.

Regards,

Lau Vegys

Doug Casey's Crisis Investing is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support our work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.

Rabid.R's avatar
Martynas's avatar
Rio's avatar
Rugile's avatar
Michael M.'s avatar
54 Likes∙
4 Restacks
54

Share this post

Doug Casey's Crisis Investing
Doug Casey's Crisis Investing
Long Live Freedom, Damn It!
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More
36
4
Share

Discussion about this post

User's avatar
Lau Vegys's avatar
Lau Vegys
Aug 13

I wonder what a Canadian Milei would look like :). Thank you for reading!

Expand full comment
Like (3)
Reply
Share
1 reply
Alan Eames's avatar
Alan Eames
Aug 13

Thanks for writing this article! Nice to have some good news for a change.

Expand full comment
Like (5)
Reply
Share
1 reply
34 more comments...
It’s Time to Buy the Most Hated Industry in the World
'Crisis Investing' Issue 4 / April 2025 – Vol 2
Apr 30 • 
Lau Vegys
90

Share this post

Doug Casey's Crisis Investing
Doug Casey's Crisis Investing
It’s Time to Buy the Most Hated Industry in the World
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More
1
Told You So. Trump’s Top Adviser Just Confirmed the Reset
Stephen Miran’s Speech, 'Global Public Goods,' and the Dollar’s 'Reserve Burden'
Apr 24 • 
Lau Vegys
267

Share this post

Doug Casey's Crisis Investing
Doug Casey's Crisis Investing
Told You So. Trump’s Top Adviser Just Confirmed the Reset
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More
77
A Monetary Reset Is Coming
'Crisis Investing' Issue 2 / February 2025 – Vol 2
Feb 28 • 
Matt Smith @ Crisis Investing
 and 
Lau Vegys
62

Share this post

Doug Casey's Crisis Investing
Doug Casey's Crisis Investing
A Monetary Reset Is Coming
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More

Ready for more?

© 2025 Doug Casey & Matthew Smith
Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start writingGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture

Share

Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More

Create your profile

User's avatar

Only paid subscribers can comment on this post

Already a paid subscriber? Sign in

Check your email

For your security, we need to re-authenticate you.

Click the link we sent to , or click here to sign in.